Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.054066 0.063070 0.072958 0.084601 0.097914 0.112639 0.130137
2025-02-23 0.039802 0.051418 0.065364 0.083258 0.105511 0.132177 0.166437
2025-03-02 0.030333 0.042931 0.059302 0.081939 0.112201 0.151004 0.204220
2025-03-09 0.024554 0.037705 0.056034 0.083093 0.121592 0.173883 0.249644
2025-03-16 0.019341 0.032062 0.050987 0.080658 0.125328 0.189230 0.286445
2025-03-23 0.016932 0.030013 0.050606 0.084606 0.138318 0.218575 0.345753
2025-03-30 0.014362 0.027151 0.048404 0.085252 0.146143 0.240888 0.396771
2025-04-06 0.011871 0.023900 0.044966 0.083250 0.149290 0.256054 0.438019
2025-04-13 0.009963 0.021298 0.042157 0.081774 0.152894 0.271998 0.481659
2025-04-20 0.009133 0.020569 0.042533 0.085856 0.166312 0.305127 0.556212
2025-04-27 0.008296 0.019655 0.042396 0.088911 0.178137 0.336500 0.630377
2025-05-04 0.007031 0.017590 0.039689 0.086661 0.179892 0.350333 0.675175
2025-05-11 0.006076 0.016047 0.037848 0.085972 0.184710 0.370464 0.733702
2025-05-18 0.005132 0.014333 0.035371 0.083625 0.186007 0.384229 0.781921
2025-05-25 0.004377 0.012911 0.033294 0.081811 0.188112 0.399637 0.834475
2025-06-01 0.003909 0.012118 0.032516 0.082713 0.195900 0.426681 0.911434
2025-06-08 0.003311 0.010839 0.030361 0.080162 0.195969 0.438301 0.959091
2025-06-15 0.003120 0.010666 0.030908 0.084023 0.210535 0.480658 1.071524
2025-06-22 0.002797 0.010028 0.030158 0.084630 0.217801 0.508400 1.156273
2025-06-29 0.002408 0.009093 0.028461 0.082625 0.218770 0.522796 1.214363
2025-07-06 0.002094 0.008315 0.027053 0.081151 0.220798 0.539593 1.278757
2025-07-13 0.002000 0.008262 0.027699 0.085200 0.236683 0.588348 1.415641
2025-07-20 0.001880 0.008088 0.027959 0.088231 0.250341 0.633139 1.546995